APHIS/VS measures program success by looking at the number of black-faced cull sheep sampled at slaughter who were found to be scrapie positive. This subgroup is used because it has the highest rate of scrapie infection.
In fiscal year 2003, of all the black-faced cull sheep that were sampled at slaughter, around 1 in 100 of those tested were positive for scrapie. As of May 31, 2007, only 1 in 400 of the black-faced cull sheep that were sampled tested positive; a significant decrease in scrapie prevalence in this group.
Source: Sheep Industry News, August 2007